The Texas Longhorns (5-3 overall, 4-3 Big 12) visit the Kansas State Wildcats (4-5, 4-4) Saturday for a noon ET kickoff at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, Kan.
Against the spread/ATS : Texas -7 (-110) | Kansas State +7 (-110)
Over/Under : 50.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Texas at Kansas State: Three things to know
Kansas State is second-to-last in total offense (325.1 yards per game) in the conference and third-to-last in total defense (426.6 YPG). The Wildcats have lost four games in a row.
Texas QB Sam Ehlinger is first in the Big 12 with 23 touchdown passes and third with 2,132 passing yards.
Texas converts on 39.1% of its third downs while Kansas State allows opponents to convert 40.3% of the time.
Prediction: Texas 28, Kansas State 24
Money line (ML)
Texas is significantly better than Kansas State offensively. Neither team is good defensively, but Kansas State has to control the clock to win. The Wildcats give up too many third downs and the Longhorns are good on third downs. Take TEXAS ( -275) even if it isn’t much of a value.
Against the spread (ATS)
Texas is 2-5-1 ATS this season and 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven. The Longhorns are 3-13 ATS against the Wildcats, while KSU consistently keeps games close, going 6-2 ATS this season. Take KANSAS STATE +7 ( -110).
The total has gone UNDER in six of the last seven games between these two teams. Texas will play down to opponents as well, so take UNDER 50.5 ( -105).