The first round of the top American football championship starts this weekend! Ready for the NFL Playoff?
Here is for you the analysis of the 6 scheduled races and some tips for your bets.
BUFFALO BILLS – INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
This is the match between the AFC east winners (13-3) and the second in AFC south (11-5). The hosts have made further steps forward compared to last season, they have all departments compact and with a QB (Allen) among the best of the season. Also Stefon Diggs is in great shape. On the other hand, Indy is an unpredictable team! Indy is the second team if we consider the revenue.
We could think of a game that currently sees Buffalo 75% favorites in the heads-up match with a handicap of 6.5 points. There is no precedent in the season since 24-16 pro Bills was played in August in the middle of the pre-season and therefore has no statistical value.
We foresee a race in which the home factor will be respected and where it will be possible to score less than the 52.5 points foreseen for now by the traders.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS – LOS ANGELES RAMS
This is another match with protagonists the first of the NFC south and the second in that division.
Wilson and associates closed with a record of 12-4, the Californians instead finished the regular season at 10-6 and gained access to wild cards on the final day by beating the Cardinals in what was a true playoff.
The Seattle experience and the home factor favors the Seahawks at 70% in the head-to-head with a spread of 4.5 points. But pay attention to the defense of the Rams, the best in the season for yards allowed and also for points conceded. Third match in two months between the two teams as in November LA won 23-16 and that in December Seattle took revenge by beating rivals 20-9 with the decisive home factor in both cases. Also in this case the 42.5 points would seem a little too much given the two seasonal matches.
We avoid advice on the transition and go right to the under as the main prediction.
WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM – TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
Challenge between two of the “most improved” of this season. The now former Redskins reached the playoffs with 7 wins and 9 defeats.
Tampa, with the arrival of Brady and Gronkowski, has made a quantum leap that never could have produced except with the arrival of two of the most successful athletes in NFL history.
This is the challenge between the second best defense for given yards and the second best attack on passing. Washington from 2015 onwards has won 4 direct fights in a row against the Buccanners but this time we believe that the 80% chance of success of the guests, favorites of 8.5 points is more than acceptable and in this case we advise you to follow the market.
TENNESSEE TITANS – BALTIMORE RAVENS
Looking at the odds, the one between the fourth and fifth force in AFC is the most balanced wild card game of the weekend with 64% favorites in the head-to-head with 3.5 points spread.
Two teams that focus heavily on attack: the best runningback (Derrick Henry on one side) and one of the most acrobatic (Lamar Jackson) on the other.
Total balance in the preceding November with a 30-24 victory for the Titans at the Raves’ home but only in overtime. We therefore bet on X in the 1X2 margin bet, or with a win on one side or the other but with a difference of no more than 5 points.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS – CHICAGO BEARS
From the match on the most uncertain paper we move on to the one that shouldn’t have stories. The hosts of the Saints, second best team in the NFC with a record of 12-4 are home to the Bears who finished the season with a modest 50% of wins.
Despite the absences of Brees in the control room and Kamara positive for the Covid19, the Saints should have no difficulty in enforcing a very high technical and experience gap and will hardly make the mistakes seen last years always at wild cards against Vikings. The 9.5 handicap points (one touchdown and one field goal) are more than doable and we advise you to go with great confidence to all the favorable markets in New Orleans.
PITTSBURGH STEELERS – CLEVELAND BROWNS
We close our analysis with the match between the first in AFC North and the third in a division that has been the one that has brought more teams to the playoffs. Roethlisberger and his teammates remained unbeaten for two thirds of the season (thanks to a very solid defense), only to collapse in the last month and a half, putting 4 knockouts in the last 5 games.
The Browns have finally experienced a positive season after being one of the worst franchises in the league for years. A win each in the two previous seasons with a respectable home factor, both times with 46 points total with a line of this game that is around 47.5. Steelers ahead 70% in the chances of winning with 4.5 handicap points. We believe the most terrible experience of the towel justifies the bet with handicap 1.